Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 71298.386869 75391.220214 79490.687712 83901.884996 88511.300417 93182.661492 98271.664819
2025-12-14 63945.355956 70114.103411 76472.468076 83506.848884 91061.807307 98922.791589 107711.271729
2025-12-21 59006.405045 66600.453311 74608.005838 83662.020822 93595.469803 104142.699327 116168.913818
2025-12-28 55960.533625 64704.866044 74100.756859 84916.332176 96990.052692 110021.063828 125115.599770
2026-01-04 53303.040658 62955.311232 73499.593835 85827.536036 99797.296671 115087.562061 133038.839781
2026-01-11 50864.649057 61246.263126 72758.206408 86407.267914 102082.519926 119454.420578 140093.150193
2026-01-18 48489.466711 59445.963179 71765.297909 86561.598945 103764.372234 123046.917543 146203.790476
2026-01-25 46426.821978 57882.030471 70929.812010 86789.702143 105438.834451 126561.354792 152178.500633
2026-02-01 44411.331114 56264.748134 69933.316092 86737.062836 106707.676959 129548.735758 157505.438317
2026-02-08 43008.270979 55302.817621 69642.116744 87454.874005 108831.911740 133499.726354 163944.598203
2026-02-15 41340.797871 53942.132708 68804.180838 87455.070492 110051.129701 136351.058585 169072.083838
2026-02-22 40369.581427 53385.345000 68893.426972 88535.877165 112538.363548 140693.018394 175975.447465
2026-03-01 39268.061623 52635.106766 68725.860828 89296.008416 114648.274432 144616.623554 182441.566980
2026-03-08 37863.198981 51451.383313 67978.624683 89304.586043 115814.838196 147394.401410 187537.729954
2026-03-15 36672.836594 50492.886237 67469.667434 89571.216464 117270.387103 150507.708072 193043.086605
2026-03-22 36067.108794 50255.550377 67842.318402 90922.511805 120061.108712 155255.141604 200566.043165
2026-03-29 35327.561699 49812.927530 67928.573590 91892.145596 122365.273395 159408.296963 207381.052356
2026-04-05 34474.122503 49188.255267 67753.948919 92506.629482 124208.531673 162989.709423 213504.436881
2026-04-12 33472.036136 48331.734630 67249.128813 92670.170414 125460.861491 165827.374466 218709.657146
2026-04-19 32555.324256 47557.980404 66823.808027 92911.439823 126794.315775 168759.069560 224038.961826
2026-04-26 31561.933746 46648.405470 66190.998413 92855.803389 127726.257244 171174.796879 228722.316536
2026-05-03 30945.802524 46231.584931 66190.909977 93614.744120 129702.354205 174914.112135 235093.995956
2026-05-10 30059.089003 45414.702175 65632.991126 93614.953073 130676.425170 177372.033991 239845.522189